Search results
1 dzień temu · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast.
- 2024 presidential election model methodology update - Nate Silver
2024 presidential election model methodology update. There...
- 2024 presidential election model methodology update - Nate Silver
Tematy dnia
2 dni temu · See the latest polls, trends and odds for the 2024 presidential election between Harris and Trump. Harris leads by 3 percentage points nationally and has a 54% chance of winning the Electoral College, according to 538's model.
Create your own 2024 election forecast by clicking states on this map. See the latest consensus, polling averages, news and more for the 2024 presidential race.
23 paź 2024 · Yet when I deliver this unsatisfying news, I inevitably get a question: “C’mon, Nate, what’s your gut say?” So OK, I’ll tell you. My gut says Donald Trump.
17 wrz 2024 · Prognosticator Nate Silver on Tuesday shared dat a that showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in the national polls average by almost three full percentage...
27 cze 2024 · According to Silver’s predictions, the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, is currently favored to defeat President Joe Biden in a rematch of their 2020 showdown.
26 cze 2024 · 2024 presidential election model methodology update. There aren’t many changes from 2020 — but here are the exceptions. Nate Silver. Jun 26, 2024. The Silver Bulletin presidential model is the same model that I developed and published when I worked for FiveThirtyEight from 2008 through 2023. 1 So with relatively few exceptions, the model is ...
