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13 sty 2013 · If the kicker misses the field goal on first, second, or third down, the ball is turned over to the opposing team. The kicking team does not get additional attempts. This is why teams rarely go for a field goal on anything except fourth down.
14 sty 2023 · Curious about a fourth-down or 2-point conversion decision? ESPN's recommendation model can help.
26 sty 2021 · Fourth down decisions are some of the most important plays of games, so NFL teams need a guide on when to punt, when to kick a field goal, and when to go for it on fourth down. Using expected points, fourth down conversion probability, and field goal probability, the optimal decision for any down and distance scenario on fourth down can be found.
15 sie 2019 · When should you kick a field goal, punt or go for it on 4th down in plus territory? A deep dive into the analytics that should underlie head coaching decisions at critical points - by field...
4 wrz 2014 · Coaches traditionally punt or kick on fourth downs, a convention inherited from the days when scores of 7-6 and 10-9 weren’t uncommon and a punt was more likely to pin an opponent on his side...
19 gru 2023 · For example, if eFGWPA exceeds eAWPA such that attempting a field goal yields a higher expected WPA than going for it on 4th down, then the team should kick a field goal. If instead eAWPA is higher, the team should go for it.
25 sty 2024 · Do NFL analytics models always recommend going for it on fourth down? No. Here's how the decisions actually are made.
