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  1. 2 dni temu · For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small...

  2. 2 dni temu · See the latest polling averages for the 2024 presidential election, with results for each state and the national race. Compare the candidates' performance, favorability and generic ballot ratings based on different poll types and dates.

  3. 1 dzień temu · Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. Now — just 18 days away ...

  4. 4 paź 2024 · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.

  5. 1 dzień temu · The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump essentially tied across the seven key...

  6. The 538 team discusses whether early voting data is a good indicator of who will win the 2024 presidential election.

  7. 29 paź 2021 · How do Americans view former President Trump and Vice President Harris ahead of the 2024 presidential election? FiveThirtyEight tracks their favorability and approval ratings, and compares them with Biden and other former vice presidents.

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