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  1. 16 mar 2023 · This series of reports presents the major assumptions of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) used to generate the projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023), [1] including general features of the model structure, assumptions concerning energy markets, and the key input data ...

  2. 16 mar 2023 · Our Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023) explores long-term energy trends in the United States. Since last year’s AEO, much has changed, most notably the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), Public Law 117-169, which altered the policy landscape we use to develop our projections.

  3. assumptions, AEO2020 includes a Reference case and side cases that systematically vary important underlying assumptions. • EIA develops the AEO with the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), an integrated model that captures interactions of econom ic changes and energy supply, demand, and prices. • More information about the assumptions ...

  4. Overview. The Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023) projects fossil fuel-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by fuel and by sector and industrial activities that capture carbon in products, such as the manufacturing plastics.

  5. Assumptions. Current laws and regulations as of November 2021. Current views on economic and demographic trends, and technology improvements. Compound annual growth rate for real U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) is 2.2% (Reference case) High Economic Growth case (2.7%) and Low Economic Growth case (1.8%)

  6. In general, the AEO’s reference case assumes (1) no changes in current U.S. laws and regulations, and (2) the continuation of historic industry and technology trends. The AEO attempts to reflect all federal laws and regulations and most key state laws and regulations that affect the energy sector.

  7. 16 mar 2023 · Annual Energy Outlook 2023. Release Date: March 16, 2023 Next Release Date: 2025 AEO Narrative AEO Narrative Figures. Overview. Data. Narrative. The Electricity Mix in the United States Shifts from Fossil Fuels to Renewables. Technological Advancements and Electrification Decrease Demand-Side Energy Intensity.

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