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1 maj 2023 · Scenario planning is a popular approach for addressing uncertainty in strategic decision making. An open and adaptable approach from its inception, scenario planning has developed into separate schools and is now used across a wide range of research fields and practical settings.
24 cze 2016 · Scenario planning is a practical tool for collective strategic thinking in organizations, especially when external uncertainty is high. Its overall purpose is discussed and two complementary...
It outlines seven premises, and has two distinctive features: (1) an approach to support strategy in contexts that exhibit turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, or ambiguity—or TUNA conditions; (2) its role in helping people to frame, reframe, and reperceive a situation.
1 sty 2016 · Definition. Scenario planning is a disciplined process for developing alternative views about an organization’s external future by analysing key uncertainties that can significantly change the landscape. Scenarios are typically presented in narrative form by telling different stories about the future in ways that are directly relevant to managers.
6 mar 2008 · In the context of organizational decision making, the term “scenario planning” refers generically to a group of techniques that use multiple scenarios to depict a range of contingencies that the organization might plausibly have to face at future points in time.
Thinking in scenarios helps us understand the logic of developments, clarify driving forces, key factors, key players and our own potential to exert an influence. Scenario planning is future planning in an era when traditional strategic planning is obsolete (Mintzberg 1994).
13 kwi 2022 · This chapter introduces scenario planning. It begins with its historical background, provides a brief overview of variations of the technique, and describes the widely used variant—i.e., the Intuitive Logics School—proposed in this book.
