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8 lis 2022 · See the House forecast * This is FiveThirtyEight’s best guess as to who the nominee will be, based on an analysis of incumbency, polls, fundraising, previous experience and endorsements. The...
2 lut 2023 · In this article, I’ll evaluate our Deluxe forecasts both as published (that is, with outdated Inside Elections ratings) and as revised with the correct ratings. (Ironically, the as-published...
5 lis 2024 · Until then, we've asked 17 election experts and analysts to weigh in on the predictions that they are willing to put their names behind before the results are in. Here's what they said. My...
7 lis 2022 · We analyzed every House, Senate and gubernatorial seat to determine who we think will win the 2022 midterm elections. See our election dashboard and find your local races.
10 mar 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998,...
Track the latest general election polling, featuring Biden v. Trump and DeSantis polling, and an early look at the electoral college. The margin of victory for each Congressional district is projected using Eight primary indicators: 1. The Voting History of Each Congressional District. 2. The Incumbent’s Performance in the Last Election. 3. Polling
FiveThirtyEight is tracking the 2022 midterm races for U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor. Why Is Biden Moving To The Political Center? The Polls Got It Right In 2022. Here Are The Pollsters...
