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  1. 4 dni temu · The 10-year minus 2-year Treasury (constant maturity) yields: Positive values may imply future growth, negative values may imply economic downturns.

    • T10y2ym

      Series is calculated as the spread between 10-Year Treasury...

  2. 4 dni temu · An inverted yield curve occurs when yields on short-term bonds rise above the yields on longer-term bonds of the same credit quality, which has proven to be a relatively reliable indicator of an economic recession.

  3. View the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates. The par real curve, which relates the par real yield on a Treasury Inflation Protected Security (TIPS) to its time to maturity, is based on the closing market bid prices on the most recently auctioned TIPS in the over-the-counter market.

  4. 3 dni temu · View the spread between 10-Year and 3-month Treasury Constant Maturities, which is used to predict recession probabilities.

  5. These charts display the spreads between long-term and short-term US Government Bond Yields. A negative spread indicates an inverted yield curve. In such a scenario short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates, which is often considered to be a predictor of an economic recession.

  6. Displaying 58 series for inverted yield curve. The 10-year minus 2-year Treasury (constant maturity) yields: Positive values may imply future growth, negative values may imply economic downturns. View the spread between 10-Year and 3-month Treasury Constant Maturities, which is used to predict recession probabilities.

  7. 30 wrz 2024 · The below chart shows this model, tracking the spread between the 10-Year to 3-Month US Treasury Yield Curve. Yield curve inversions are highlighted red, and recessions are indicated as vertical gray bands, occurring subsequent to each time the yield curve is inverted.

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