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Download report. BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicator. The global BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicator (BGRI) aims to capture overall market attention to geopolitical risks, as the line chart shows. The indicator is a simple average of our top-10 risks. Risk summary Market movement Calendar Methodology. Top 10 risks by likelihood.
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December 2021. Geopolitical Risks – December update. We see geopolitics in 2022 as driven by domestic policy priorities, U.S.-China competition, divergence between developed and emerging markets, and dynamics relating to the bumpy energy transition. As a result, our focus risk zooms in on three areas:
Our dashboard features both data-driven market attention barometers and judgment-based assessments of our top risks. We show market attention to each risk, assess the likelihood of it occurring over a six-month horizon, and analyze its potential market impact.
Our BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicators (BGRIs) track market attention to each risk using mentions in brokerage reports and financial news stories. They
Our process draws on experts across BlackRock in risk management, geopolitics, portfolio management and quantitative analytics, and underlies our assessment of the top-10 risks highlighted on our Geopolitical risk dashboard. We illustrate our methodology with a timely risk: Global trade tensions.
elevated market attention to conflict-related risks across the board –most notably, Russia-NATO conflict. Our dashboard features both data-driven market attention barometers and judgment-based assessments of our top risks. We show market attention to each risk, assess the likelihood of it occurring over a six-month horizon, and
Our geopolitical risk dashboard features both data-driven market attention barometers and judgment- based assessments of our top 10 individual risks. We show the market attention to each risk, assess the likelihood of it occurring over a six-month horizon, and analyze its potential market impact.