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A black swan event results in severe and widespread consequences. After the occurrence of a black swan event, people will rationalize the event as having been predictable (known as hindsight bias). Taleb also notes that black swan events are not limited to financial markets or stock markets.
2 sty 2024 · Examples include financial crises, natural disasters, technological breakthroughs, and geopolitical upheavals. Black Swan Events defy conventional expectations and historical data in finance, emphasizing the need for robust risk management and diversification.
19 lut 2014 · How does data inform business processes, offerings, and engagement with customers? This research looks at trends in the use of analytics, the evolution of analytics strategy, optimal team composition, and new opportunities for data-driven innovation.
5 paź 2022 · Learn more about black swan events and whether there’s any way to prepare for them despite their innate unpredictability. Black swan events exist well outside the realm of regular expectations. When they occur, they make an indelible and unpleasant mark on history.
•Black swans (Nassim Taleb): Unknowable given current information & virtually impossible to predict •Grey swans: Low probability & describable & analyzable •Gray rhinos (Michele Wucker): Moderate probability & straightforwardly predictable given current information, but neglected •Perfect storms (Operational research):
1 lip 2021 · The investigation into the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident – one of the most consequential technological accidents of this century and for some a prime example of a Black Swan – conclusively showed that the Black-Swan notion did not stick.
24 lut 2023 · We explore a new framework for business scenario planning that categorizes geopolitical risk in three ways: black swans, gray rhinos, and silver linings.
