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  1. 3 dni temu · The American Association for Public Opinion Research, a panel of the polling industry’s professional group, said the public opinion surveys ahead of the 2020 presidential election were the most ...

  2. 5 dni temu · Even in 2020, when most polls correctly predicted Biden's victory, the "national surveys of the 2020 presidential contest were the least accurate in 40 years," Politico said. Does this...

  3. 17 paź 2024 · To judge the accuracy of presidential polls, the charts in this article show averages that combine many polls into one estimate for each election.

  4. 2 dni temu · A new poll from The New York Times/Siena College published today finds Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump tied at 48 percent each in the national popular vote,...

  5. 2 dni temu · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.

  6. 28 sie 2024 · The 2022 midterms saw generally accurate polling, despite a wave of partisan polls predicting a broad Republican victory. In fact, FiveThirtyEight found that “polls were more accurate in 2022 than in any cycle since at least 1998, with almost no bias toward either party.”

  7. 10 mar 2023 · Polls were historically accurate in 2021-22. Weighted-average error of polls in the final 21 days* before presidential primary and presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general...

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