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Arbitrary inference is a classic tenet of cognitive therapy created by Aaron T. Beck in 1979. [1] He defines the act of making an arbitrary inference as the process of drawing a conclusion without sufficient evidence, or without any evidence at all.
Table of Contents. Introduction. About This Book. Foolish Assumptions. Icons Used in This Book. Beyond the Book. Where to Go from Here. Part I: Getting Started with Social Psychology. Chapter 1: Introducing the Science of Social Psychology. Looking Down the Social Psychologists’ Microscope. Rummaging through the social psychologists’ toolkit.
Arbitrary inference is “the process of forming an interpretation of a situation, event, or experience when there is no factual evidence to support the conclusion or where the conclusion is contrary to the evidence” [1].
Social cognitive inferences are typically varieties of diagnostic reasoning or, more properly, “abductive” reasoning, in which people infer simple but plausible—although not deductively certain—underlying causes for observable social behaviors.
Clinically, the most widely known aspect of cognitive bias are the cognitive distortions (unhelpful thinking styles) identified by Beck, examples of which include arbitrary inference, over-generalization, and dichotomous thinking (Beck, 1963).
10 maj 2017 · In the first three, we review an emerging body of work on the role of explanation in three types of causal reasoning: drawing inferences about the causes of events, learning novel causal structures, and assigning causal responsibility.
