Search results
15 sie 2024 · In light of recent economic developments, J.P. Morgan Research has raised the probability of a U.S. and global recession starting before end-2024 to 35%. The probability of a recession happening by the end of 2025 remains unchanged at 45%.
12 maj 2023 · The World Economic Forum’s latest Chief Economists Outlook finds that economists are divided on the chances of a global recession in 2023. During the Forum's Growth Summit, which took place on 2-3 May 2023, leading economists explored the state of the global economy.
16 sty 2023 · Almost two-thirds of chief economists believe a global recession is likely in 2023; of which 18% consider it extremely likely – more than twice as many as in the previous survey conducted in September 2022. A third of respondents consider a global recession to be unlikely this year.
28 lut 2024 · The UK slipped into a recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, with GDP falling 0.3%, following a 0.1% contraction in the second quarter. According to the Bundesbank, Germany is also likely in recession.
7 wrz 2023 · For example, at the time of this writing, the New York Fed’s website reports a 66% probability of recession based on the nominal 10-year-three-month yield spread using July 2023 data as the latest predictive information, with the model’s parameters estimated using data from January 1959 to December 2009.
As central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023 and a string of financial crises in emerging market and developing economies that would do them lasting harm, according to a comprehensive new study by the World Bank.
16 sty 2023 · The economic outlook for 2023 will feel different depending on where you are in the world, according to the World Economic Forum’s Chief Economists Outlook. While the overall global picture is gloomy and almost 20% of the respondents now see an extremely likely chance of a global recession - double the number as in the previous survey in ...
