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1 dzień temu · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.
- Does Trump have momentum? - by Nate Silver
That’s not much different from Trump’s 49.4 percent chances...
- Silver Bulletin | Nate Silver | Substack
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker,...
- Does Trump have momentum? - by Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2 ]
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
1 dzień temu · For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over...
17 wrz 2024 · What happened to Nate Silver. Once beloved by progressives, Silver now feuds with them regularly. He tells us why.
2 dni temu · That’s not much different from Trump’s 49.4 percent chances yesterday: the difference is that he wins the Electoral College an additional 1 time out of 125. But Trump is past the 50-yard line — and above Harris’s chances, which are 49.5 percent 1 — for the first time since Sept. 19.
21 kwi 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”
