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1 maj 2023 · Scenario planning is a popular approach for addressing uncertainty in strategic decision making. An open and adaptable approach from its inception, scenario planning has developed into separate schools and is now used across a wide range of research fields and practical settings.
6 mar 2008 · In the context of organizational decision making, the term “scenario planning” refers generically to a group of techniques that use multiple scenarios to depict a range of contingencies that the organization might plausibly have to face at future points in time.
It outlines seven premises, and has two distinctive features: (1) an approach to support strategy in contexts that exhibit turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, or ambiguity—or TUNA conditions; (2) its role in helping people to frame, reframe, and reperceive a situation.
1 sty 2016 · Definition. Scenario planning is a disciplined process for developing alternative views about an organization’s external future by analysing key uncertainties that can significantly change the landscape. Scenarios are typically presented in narrative form by telling different stories about the future in ways that are directly relevant to managers.
Unlike the pursuit of higher accu-racy in quantitative forecasting methods, the objective of scenario planning is to facilitate organizational learning about the evolving environment and influence decision makers to be open to possible shifts in the environment.
1 mar 2016 · We assess scenario planning as a research methodology to carry out interesting, usable, and rigorous inquiry that generates insights through interdisciplinary reframing. We conclude the chapter with reflections on how the social process insights from Chapter 2 impact the role of scenario planning in accessing and generating knowledge. In so ...
28 cze 2021 · Seeing the future as a psychological landscape clarifies the elements of strategy, provides insights into key areas of strategic thinking, and helps develop the strategic conviction essential for visionary leadership.