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Welcome to 338Canada! The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
- Canada (federal)
The odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general...
- Alberta
Alberta - Welcome to 338Canada
- British Columbia
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely...
- Manitoba
Manitoba - Welcome to 338Canada
- New Brunswick
New Brunswick - Welcome to 338Canada
- Newfoundland & Labrador
Newfoundland & Labrador - Welcome to 338Canada
- Nova Scotia
Nova Scotia - Welcome to 338Canada
- Ontario
Ontario - Welcome to 338Canada
- Canada (federal)
If an election were held today, who would win? The CBC News Poll Tracker is your guide to following the polls. Get the latest numbers and analysis on where the political parties stand from Éric...
16 lip 2023 · The odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations, using vote projections per riding, past results, and various demographic data as the main variables.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
The latest political Canada polls concerning the federal government and seat predictions if the 45th federal election were to be held tomorrow.
Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's ever-changing political landscape.
13 wrz 2021 · 2021 Canadian Federal Election forecast from Vox Pop Labs. If the election were held today, the Liberals would win the most seats. Updated daily, The Signal predicts the election outcome using a model that draws on hundreds of polls. See methodology for details. CPC 32.5%.
