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26 wrz 2022 · My first live will be on Wednesday, September 28 at 6:30 PM EST. Feel free to drop a comment with questions you have for me, or a topic you want me to cover. Subscribe to my YouTube and turn on notifications to be alerted when I go live.
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian.He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973.. Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the ...
It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
1 dzień temu · Instead, the Lichtman “keys” isolate 13 factors that have each been found to be pretty good predictors even standing alone. Opinion: Harris needs Republican votes to win Pennsylvania. Trump is making that easier. They include major foreign policy successes and failures, scandal, the presence of a major third candidate and, yes, the economy.
Allan J. Lichtman, professor of history in the College of Arts and Sciences, is best known for his “13 Keys” system, which enables him to predict the outcome of the popular vote solely on historical factors and not the use of candidate-preference polls, tactics, or campaign events.
4 paź 2024 · Historian Allan Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he’s done it without the use of polling data. Instead, he uses a set of 13 keys...
