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Featured Outlooks & Forecasts. Predicting drought depends on the ability to forecast precipitation and temperature within the context of complex climate interactions. Many different datasets and maps are available that predict how precipitation and temperature may change in the future.
- U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook
The U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook depicts large-scale trends...
- U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook
The Drought Monitor summary map identifies general areas of drought and labels them by intensity. D1 is the least intense level and D4 the most intense. Drought is defined as a moisture deficit bad enough to have social, environmental or economic effects.
28 cze 2024 · We improved quality for long-term, up to 12 months drought forecasting • We adopted modern transformers and Convolutional LSTM to solve this problem • We created an extensive test bed to evaluate models consisting of 5 diverse regions • We reduced the gap to perfect ROC-AUC by 54% and 16%, respectively.
Latest Seasonal Assessment - For the past 4 weeks, widespread beneficial rainfall across the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) brought 1-3 class drought improvement or removal over portions of the western Midwest, Great Plains, West and Southeast.
2 lip 2024 · The problem of high-quality drought forecasting up to a year in advance is critical for agriculture planning and insurance. Yet, it is still unsolved with reasonable accuracy due to data complexity and aridity stochasticity.
The U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook depicts large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and long-range statistical and dynamical forecasts.
27 paź 2022 · This review covers published papers from 2017 to 2022 to ensure that the findings are up to date and relevant to the field of study. Guidelines for the future outlook and trend in drought forecasting are projected for continual efforts in improving the accuracy of drought studies.
