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3 dni temu · The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a little fancy. They adjust for whether polls are conducted among registered or likely voters, the presence or absence of RFK Jr., and house effects. They weight more reliable polls more heavily. And they use national polls to make inferences about state polls and vice versa.
11 cze 2024 · LAST UPDATED July 1. Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s...
1 dzień temu · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. How this works See the latest polls KEY
6 dni temu · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. How Popular Is Joe Biden?...
21 godz. temu · Democrats who are insisting that President Biden stay in the race despite his apparent cognitive decline are engaged in “reality distortion” while ignoring “cold, hard facts” and lashing out at the media, data journalist and pollster Nate Silver. said. Silver, founder of the election prognostication site FiveThirtyEight, wrote in his ...
4 dni temu · Listen to the latest episodes of FiveThirtyEight Politics, a podcast by the 538 team covering the issues and game-changers in US politics. Find out how voters are tuning out the 2024 election, why they are worried about democracy, and how the Sun Belt is shifting away from Biden.
4 dni temu · The New York Times’ Nate Cohn wrote that self-identified Democrats and Republicans answered the new survey at roughly equal rates. That’s just one poll, but it suggests that the small dip for...
