Search results
13 cze 2024 · The forecasting team thinks there’s a 65 percent chance that La Niña will arrive by July-September. For each upcoming 3-month season, NOAA forecasts the chances of El Niño (red bars), La Niña (blue bars), or neutral conditions (gray bars) in the tropical Pacific.
- February 2024 ENSO Outlook: All along the La Niña WATCH-tower
The outlook gives a 79% chance that El Niño will transition...
- February 2024 ENSO Outlook: All along the La Niña WATCH-tower
Tematy dnia
26 maj 2024 · Eksperci zauważyli, że w tym roku sezon huraganowy napędzać będzie szybkie przejście między anomalią pogodową El Nino a La Nina. Taka zmiana sprzyja aktywności huraganów na Atlantyku.
21 cze 2024 · Beginning in late fall 2024 into winter and early spring 2025, a canonical La Niña precipitation pattern is favored over the CONUS. Above normal precipitation is indicated over the north coast of Alaska and the Pacific Northwest stretching into the Central Plains and shifting eastward to the Great Lakes as the forecast progresses through ...
La Niña may develop in June-August 2024 with 49% chance, or in July-September 2024 with 69% chance, according to the ENSO Alert System. See the latest SST, subsurface, wind and OLR anomalies, and the influence of Kelvin waves and MJO in the equatorial Pacific.
The International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) provides monthly updates on the status and outlook of El Niño, La Niña, and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Based on the NINO3.4 index, ENSO-neutral conditions persist in May 2024, but La Niña becomes the most probable category in August 2024.
The Climate Prediction Center reports a transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely in the next month, with La Niña developing in June-September 2024. The forecast team favors the dynamical model guidance, which suggests La Niña could form as early as June-August 2024.
8 lut 2024 · The February 2024 ENSO Outlook gives a 79% chance of El Niño transitioning to ENSO-neutral by April-June, and a 55% chance of La Niña by June-August. The outlook is based on ocean and atmospheric conditions, seasonal prediction models, and historical records of El Niño-La Niña transitions.
