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28 cze 2024 · Table Data - NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough. NOTE: To improve accessibility of data for all users, this file was converted from a text format to an html table.
- Usrecd
Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession...
- Usrecd
27 cze 2024 · Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USRECD) from 1854-12-01 to 2024-06-27 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.
20 cze 2024 · This time series is an interpretation of US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions data provided by The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) at http://www.nber.org/cycles/cyclesmain.html. Our time series is composed of dummy variables that represent periods of expansion and recession.
28 cze 2024 · The chart and table below illustrate the performance of the generic big four with an overlay of a simple average of the four since the end of the most recent recession (2020). The NBER declared the recent "COVID" recession to be just two months, ending in April 2020.
11 cze 2024 · The Recession Probability Track is based on Jonathan Wright's yield curve-based recession forecasting model, which factors in the one-quarter average spread between the 10-year and 3-month...
1 dzień temu · Here is the long-term chart of ISM Services PMI - it only goes below 50 if the US economy is in a recession, 2000, 2008, 2020, no false signals here. We are sub 50 now, as of June data release.
19 cze 2024 · The Composite Recession Probability Index (CRPI) is currently estimating a low 5% probability that the US is in an NBER-defined recession or will imminently fall into one. But the recent uptick...
