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14 sty 2023 · 4th down conversion rate by distance. For the most part, as teams get farther from the first-down marker, it becomes more difficult for them to convert. There are a few exceptions in the data...
14 sty 2023 · Curious about a fourth-down or 2-point conversion decision? ESPN's recommendation model can help.
Simply enter any desired location into the search function and you will get the shortest distance (air line) between the points, the route (route planner) as well as all important information. Of course, you can also determine distances between coordinates (latitude / longitude).
It seems like the 1-point conversion is what they usually go for. When 2 points give any advantage over 1 point, e.g. down by 2 points in the last play. The factors that go into punting vs going for it are down, distance, time left, score, time outs, and field position.
NFL Football extra point conversion percentage, by team.
However, what I was able to do was measure standard deviation of performance over average, and then weight average by plays of that distance, to come up with an aggregated 3rd down performance ranking given the distance.
This tool enables you to calculate the straight line distance between two locations or two cities, "as the crow flies". As you can share your location, it will let you know easily how far you are in a straight line from any point of interest.
